This week’s Friday Takeaways is our last one before Election Day. Here’s what you need to know:
SENATE GOP CLOSING ARGUMENTS: CONTINUING ANTI-HEALTH CARE CRUSADE, ABANDONING CORONAVIRUS RELIEF. Senate Republicans made their priorities crystal clear this week by rushing to fill a Supreme Court vacancy and threatening their health care, and then leaving Washington without passing more urgently needed coronavirus relief.
WHILE REPUBLICANS HAVE SETTLED ON THEIR “MESSAGE OF GRIEVANCE,” DEMOCRATS ARE FOCUSING ON HEALTH CARE. A New York Times deep dive into Senate races across the country found that while Republicans “have settled on a message of grievance,” Democrats are focusing on the issues voters care about, like health care and the coronavirus response. Republican incumbents can’t defend their own records, so they’ve resorted to misleading negative attacks in a desperate attempt to save their flailing campaigns — but voters can see right through these desperate stunts.
INCREASE IN MAIL VOTING “EXPECTED TO PUSH BACK THE RELEASE OF FULL RESULTS IN MANY KEY STATES.” The New York Times compiled a helpful guide explaining why “the increase in mail voting because of the pandemic is expected to push back the release of full results in many key states.” Take a look at the timing of results in each state → New York Times: How Long Will Vote Counting Take? Estimates and Deadlines in All 50 States
RATINGS CHANGES MOVE MORE RACES TOWARDS DEMS ON EXPANDED MAP. Three nonpartisan election analysts shifted another six ratings in four races in Democrats’ favor, the latest sign of growing momentum to end Republicans’ Senate majority in the final days of the election. Jessica Taylor of Cook Political Report declared that “Democrats have expanded the map while Republicans haven’t really taken many, if any, races completely off the table.” Inside Elections noted that the Senate battlefield has widened and Democrats have “multiple paths to the majority.” Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifted both Senate races in Georgia to a toss-up rating.
Take a look at what these election analysts are saying about the Senate map:
REPUBLICANS PANIC AS GOP MEGA-DONORS STEP IN TO TRY TO SAVE MCCONNELL’S SENATE MAJORITY. As Republicans panic over Democratic candidates’ record-shattering Q3 hauls fueled by grassroots donors and the “wide competitive Senate map” they face, GOP mega-donors “have stepped up their 11th-hour fundraising efforts” to try to save their endangered Senate majority. Majority Leader Mitch McConnell admitted this week that Republicans have been forced on defense across an expanded map because of strong Democratic candidates, confessing, “we always knew we were going to have spirited races in Montana, Colorado, Arizona, Iowa, North Carolina and Maine. They’ve been able to make it competitive in Kansas, Georgia, South Carolina and Alaska.” Now a handful of billionaires are writing multi-million dollar checks to Mitch McConnell’s super PAC to fund a surge of late ads in the “hopes the late cash surge will help its candidates counter record-breaking fundraising by Democratic challengers.” With Republicans in Washington worried about their weak and struggling incumbents, it’s no surprise that the billionaires who have benefited from GOP control of the Senate have stepped in to try to rescue their flailing campaigns.
MORE EDITORIAL BOARDS OVERWHELMINGLY ENDORSE DEMS. Democratic Senate candidates and incumbents continue to rack up editorial board endorsements from their local newspapers in the final days:
FEDERALIST SOCIETY CO-FOUNDER FUNDED VULNERABLE GOP INCUMBENTS AMID SCOTUS HEARINGS. A damning report from HuffPost revealed that vulnerable Senators Martha McSally, Cory Gardner, David Perdue, Kelly Loeffler, Thom Tillis, and Lindsey Graham “all received a maxed-out donation from Federalist Society co-founder and board chairman Steven Calabresi during Amy Coney Barrett’s Supreme Court confirmation process.” The timing of the donations to these six senators locked in tough re-election campaigns “certainly sent them the message that the Federalist Society had their backs and expected them to respond in kind by confirming Barrett.” HuffPost: Federalist Society Board Chair Funded At-Risk GOP Senators Amid Barrett Hearings
SEEING DOUBLE? GOP SUPER PACS CAUGHT USING THE SAME PAID ACTORS IN ATTACK ADS IN #IASEN, #KSSEN AND #MESEN. Two Republican super PACs got caught this week using “the same supposed voter in newly released ads for at least three different Senate races, including those in Maine, Iowa and Kansas.” It’s pretty clear that GOP outside groups aligned with Mitch McConnell can’t defend Republicans’ toxic records, so they’ve resorted to misleading attack ads –– and they can’t even find real constituents to spread their lies. HuffPost: GOP Ads Use The Same ‘Voter’ To Bash Dems In Three Different Senate Races
DARK MONEY GROUP FUNNELS MONEY TO ERNST SUPER PAC. A new Iowa Starting Line report today reveals that the dark money group “accused of illegally coordinating with Sen. Joni Ernst’s reelection campaign” is now “funnel[ing] money to Iowa Values Action, a new super PAC set up to boost Ernst.” The new super PAC has raised $1.6 million — with $1 million coming from the dark money group at the center of Ernst’s campaign finance scandal. Ernst still hasn’t answered for her previous “egregious” violations and now her potentially illicit actions are funding this “campaign finance workaround,” allowing her big money donors “‘to spend unlimited money in the race while hiding their identities from the public.’” Iowa Starting Line: ‘Dark Money’ Group Funnels Money To Super PAC Boosting Ernst
AFTER COLLINS “BACKED DOWN FROM A FIGHT” WITH THE PRIVATE EQUITY INDUSTRY, THEY’RE “UNDERWRITING” HER CAMPAIGN. A bombshell POLITICO/ProPublica investigation this week revealed that Senator Susan Collins backed down from a fight over an amendment in the 2017 Republican tax bill that would have taken “aim at a tax break cherished by the private equity industry.” Now, just three years later, the industry that benefited from Collins’ quick about-face “has become her most reliable source of donations.” She’s taken over half a million dollars in campaign contributions from the private equity industry this cycle –– more than any other senator –– and one chief executive has even given millions of dollars to a personal super PAC backing her. It’s just another example of how Senator Susan Collins has changed after 24 years in Washington, putting her special interest donors ahead of hardworking Mainers. POLITICO: Susan Collins backed down from a fight with private equity. Now they’re underwriting her reelection.
COLLINS *STILL* WON’T SAY IF SHE SUPPORTS TRUMP. In the final Maine Senate debate this week, Senator Susan Collins once again refused to say if she’s voting for Trump, keeping up her streak of 684 days and counting of keeping Mainers in the dark. Reminder: Collins has voted with the president 94% of the time and Trump himself has said he’s “100%” behind Collins’ campaign. Salon: Susan Collins still won’t say if she’s voting for Donald Trump with less than a week until election
JOHN JAMES CALLED OUT FOR LYING ABOUT HEALTH CARE. Detroit Free Press editorial page editor Brian Dickerson eviscerated failed politician John James in a column today for lying about health care to Michigan voters. Dickerson skewered James, writing “no one has been more chronically deceitful about health care than GOP senatorial candidate John James.” James “favors the repeal of Obamacare” and “still hasn’t concocted a coherent response” when asked how he’ll provide protections for pre-existing conditions if the law is repealed. Meanwhile, “Peters and his Democratic colleagues actually have a plan to pay for pre-existing conditions.” After James’ stumble when asked how he’d protect people with pre-existing conditions in an interview earlier this month, it’s clear that James’ lack of a health care plan is an indefensible liability. Detroit Free Press (Opinion): Why Republicans lie about pre-existing conditions
GRAHAM AND TILLIS CAUGHT “IN AN APPARENT PAY-TO-PLAY SCHEME.” New reporting from Salon this week found that Senators Thom Tillis and Lindsey Graham “coordinated in an apparent pay-to-play scheme that rolled out for several years” as they “changed their views” on a controversial casino “after taking big bucks from casino interests and lobbyists.” Graham and Tillis both originally opposed the project, but after an aggressive lobbying effort that involved “tens of thousands of dollars in contributions from industry lobbyists and the casino developer,” the vulnerable incumbents changed their positions. Salon: Lindsey Graham, Thom Tillis pushed for controversial casino after donations from gambling mogul
DAINES’ “VANISHING BEEF DEAL”: A DISAPPEARING ACT OF MON-MOO-MENTAL PROPORTIONS. Senator Steve Daines’ toxic record as “China’s ambassador in Congress” was in the spotlight again this week after the Washington Post published a deep dive into Daines’ “vanishing beef deal.” Daines was happy to claim “credit for brokering the beef deal” between Montana ranchers and Chinese retailer JD.com in 2017, but three years later little evidence has materialized that Montana beef was sold to China through that deal. When asked to comment, “spokespersons for Daines’s Senate office and his campaign also did not respond.” Washington Post: Republicans could suffer from Chinese company’s failure to buy Montana beef
GEORGIA REPUBLICANS GO VIRAL FOR ALL THE WRONG REASONS. Georgia’s endangered Republican senators, David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler, went viral for all the wrong reasons this week as they are both down in the polls. In a debate Wednesday, Democratic challenger Jon Ossoff eviscerated Perdue for prioritizing his personal stock portfolio during the pandemic and his long record of working to gut health care protections for Georgians with pre-existing conditions. Watch the viral clip, which already has over 12 million views on Twitter. Less than 24 hours later, Perdue decided to pull out of the final scheduled debate to take cover with a friendlier crowd at a Trump rally. Meanwhile, Loeffler garnered scathing coverage of her own for unbelievably claiming she’s “not familiar” with the infamous Access Hollywood tape after she insisted there’s absolutely nothing on which she disagrees with Trump.
SENATOR TINA SMITH RELEASES NEW AD URGING VOTERS TO RETURN BALLOTS. Senator Tina Smith released a new ad today to ensure that voters in Minnesota have the information needed to make their votes count. The ad follows the last minute 8th Circuit Court of Appeals ruling yesterday and urges Minnesotans to hand deliver their mail-in ballots by 3:00 p.m. on Election Day, or vote in person on or before Election Day. Watch.
IN THE STATES
AL – Montgomery Advertiser (Opinion): Labor federation: Doug Jones is the right choice for Alabama’s working people
AK – Anchorage Daily News: Sullivan and Gross clash on health care and Supreme Court in Alaska US Senate debate
AZ – Arizona Republic (Opinion): I won’t be a Democratic or Republican senator if elected, Mark Kelly says
AZ – NBC News: ‘Quick, quick, quick’: Trump rushes McSally at rally as she fights to hold her Senate seat
CO – Denver Post (Opinion): Schrader: Cory Gardner, the great pretender, can fool moderate Coloradans no more
GA – Rolling Stone: Watch Georgia Senate Candidate Jon Ossoff Destroy Republican David Perdue Over Health Care Failures
GA – POLITICO: The preacher who might finally turn Georgia blue
GA – AP: Loeffler charts path to the right in Georgia Senate race
GA – Capitol Beat News Service: Joe Biden endorses Warnock, Ossoff in Georgia’s U.S. Senate races
IA – Globe Gazette: Senate candidate Theresa Greenfield in Clear Lake to talk COVID, jobs
IA – Carroll Times Herald: Greenfield says childhood on farm prepped her for corn-and-bean price question
KS – Teen Vogue: Kansas Senate Candidate Barbara Bollier Gets Boost From Young Democrats
KY – Louisville Courier Journal: ‘You know that we need change’: Amy McGrath appeals to voters a week before election
LA – Bayou Brief: The Return of Double Bill
ME – Bangor Daily News (Opinion): I’ve voted for Susan Collins in the past. Not this year.
MI – WDIV: Poll: Gary Peters opens nearly 10-point lead on John James in Michigan US Senate race
NC – STAT News: In key race, Democrats paint the incumbent as ‘pharma’s favorite senator’
NC – News & Observer: Cunningham says devotion to public service is at heart of U.S. Senate run
NC – WRAL/PolitiFact: Fact check: Did Tillis flip-flop on Supreme Court appointments?
NH – Concord Monitor (Opinion): Sen. Jeanne Shaheen: Fighting to protect domestic violence survivors during the pandemic
SC – The State: Jaime Harrison rallies supporters at free concert in Columbia
TX – KLRD: MJ Hegar votes early vows to “keep kicking butts and taking names”
TWEET OF THE WEEK
Lauren Passalacqua
@laurenvpass
Stewart Boss
@stew_boss
Helen Kalla
@helen_kalla
Shea Necheles
@sheanecheles
Regina Anderson
@reginasopinion
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